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INSEAD Global Economy Blog

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Antonio Fatas  Ilian Mihov

Antonio Fatas and Ilian Mihov are professors of economics at INSEAD, an international business school with cam [Read More]

Categories: Business | Economics | Finance/Investing | International Business

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Latest Posts:

Counting backwards to the next recession
In most advanced economies business cycles can be well characterized by a succession of long expansion phases that are interrupted by short recessions. Given this pattern it is sometimes natural to think about the length of expansions as a key featur...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Monday, November 23, 2015

The missing lowflation revolution
It will soon be eight years since the US Federal Reserve decided to bring its interest rate down to 0%. Other central banks have spent similar number of years (or much longer in the case of Japan) stuck at the zero lower bound. In these eight years c...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Thursday, October 29, 2015

GDP growth is not exogenous
Ken Rogoff in the Financial Times argues that the world economy is suffering from a debt hangover rather than deficient demand. The argument and the evidence are partly there: financial crises tend to be more persistent. However, there is still an op...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Thursday, October 15, 2015

Savings glut and financial imbalances
Martin Wolf in today's Financial Times discusses the reasons for low interest rates and suggests some interesting scenarios for the years ahead. I agree with most of what he says but I have doubts about the role that he assigns to central banks.Let m...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Thursday, October 08, 2015

A third scenario for stock markets
Robert Shiller on the New York Times argues that the stock market is expensive by historical standards using the cyclically-adjusted price earnings ratio (CAPE) that he has made popular through his writings since the late 1990s.There is no doubt that...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Thursday, August 27, 2015

Micromanagement of European reforms
The agreement between Greece and its Euro partners is full of very detailed policies to be approved by the Greek government in the coming week. How did we end up in a situation where the domestic policies of a Euro country are decided by other countr...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Monday, July 13, 2015

Did the IMF provide support to Syriza?
The IMF published yesterday a preliminary analysis on the debt sustainability of the Greek government. The timing of the publication, a couple of days ahead of the referendum, has triggered a variety of interpretations of the conclusions. The Greek g...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Friday, July 03, 2015

Greece: negotiating without trust
The Eurozone and Greece are going through the last hours of a negotiation to ensure release of additional funds from the previous agreement and possibly setting the basis for the next one.The leaked details of the latest Greek proposal and the Eurozo...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Thursday, June 25, 2015

Interest rates: natural or artificial?
The debate about who is responsible for the low level of interest rates that has prevailed in most economies over the last years heated up when Ben Bernanke wrote a series of blog posts on what determines interest rates. He argued, once again, that i...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Monday, June 08, 2015

The Greek Dra(ch)ma is back?
One more round of negotiations between Greece and the rest of is European partners to seek a last-minute solution before the Greek government runs out of money. Negotiations could end up going in any direction. Greece is unlikely to score a massive w...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Sunday, May 03, 2015

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