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INSEAD Global Economy Blog

Visit Site - http://fatasmihov.blogspot.com/

Antonio Fatas  Ilian Mihov

Antonio Fatas and Ilian Mihov are professors of economics at INSEAD, an international business school with cam [Read More]

Categories: Business | Economics | Finance/Investing | International Business


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Latest Posts:

Central Banks need to get real (not nominal)
While the ECB and Bank of Japan are exploring negative interest rates, the US Federal Reserve is preparing us for a slow and cautious increase in short-term interest rates. Long-term rates remain at very low levels and inflation expectations have com...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Tuesday, March 29, 2016


ECB: I cannot do whatever it takes
The ECB just announced a further reduction in interest rates, extended its QE program by increasing the rate at which buys assets, beefed up the TLTRO program and extended its horizon. It all sounds like good news and many of these actions had been e...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Thursday, March 10, 2016


A 2016 recession would be different
If the US or the Eurozone entered a recession this year, a few macroeconomic variables would look very different relative to previous recessions.1. The Yield curve would be very steep. Unlike in any previous recession when the yield curve was flat or...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Thursday, February 04, 2016


BIS redefines inflation (again)
An interview with Hyun Song Shin, economic adviser and head of research at the BIS, reposted in the BIS web site reminds us of the strange and heterodox views that the BIS (and others) have about the behavior of inflation. The views run cont...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Sunday, January 10, 2016


Counting backwards to the next recession
In most advanced economies business cycles can be well characterized by a succession of long expansion phases that are interrupted by short recessions. Given this pattern it is sometimes natural to think about the length of expansions as a key featur...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Monday, November 23, 2015


The missing lowflation revolution
It will soon be eight years since the US Federal Reserve decided to bring its interest rate down to 0%. Other central banks have spent similar number of years (or much longer in the case of Japan) stuck at the zero lower bound. In these eight years c...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Thursday, October 29, 2015


GDP growth is not exogenous
Ken Rogoff in the Financial Times argues that the world economy is suffering from a debt hangover rather than deficient demand. The argument and the evidence are partly there: financial crises tend to be more persistent. However, there is still an op...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Thursday, October 15, 2015


Savings glut and financial imbalances
Martin Wolf in today's Financial Times discusses the reasons for low interest rates and suggests some interesting scenarios for the years ahead. I agree with most of what he says but I have doubts about the role that he assigns to central banks.Let m...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Thursday, October 08, 2015


A third scenario for stock markets
Robert Shiller on the New York Times argues that the stock market is expensive by historical standards using the cyclically-adjusted price earnings ratio (CAPE) that he has made popular through his writings since the late 1990s.There is no doubt that...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Thursday, August 27, 2015


Micromanagement of European reforms
The agreement between Greece and its Euro partners is full of very detailed policies to be approved by the Greek government in the coming week. How did we end up in a situation where the domestic policies of a Euro country are decided by other countr...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Monday, July 13, 2015



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